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Looks Like We Are Safe

Looks Like We Are Safe

&borderstyBeing a budding Mystic Meg, I attempted to predict how the rest of the season would go for us and our relegation rivals.

I saw on Millwall Online their predictions for their side's final run in. They reckon only two more defeats for them till May, picking up another 17 points.

A tad optimistic I thought, but it got me wondering. Who's got the easiest run in of our rivals?

I think it's fair to say that only Gillingham, Cheltenham, Millwall and ourselves are the only teams fighting to avoid that final relegation spot, so they are the only clubs I've used in this.

So, here are my predictions.

Cheltenham:
Leeds (A) - 0 points
Bristol R (H) - 1
Luton (A) - 3
Orient (H) - 1
Northampton (H) - 0
Forest (A) - 0
Walsall (H) - 3
Crewe (A) - 0
Oldham (A) - 1
Doncaster (H) - 0

Total = 9 = 46

Millwall:
Yeovil (A) - 1
Orient (H) - 3
Oldham (A) - 0
Luton (H) - 1
Bournemouth (H) - 3
Gillingham (H) - 3
Hartlepool (A) - 0
Leeds (H) - 0
Carlisle (H) - 0
Swindon (A) - 1

Total = 12 = 52

Gillingham:
Doncaster (A) - 0
Crewe (H) - 0
Bournemouth (H) - 3
Vale (A) - 1
Carlisle (H) - 0
Luton (H) - 1
Millwall (A) - 0
Swansea (H) - 0
Bristol R (A) - 1
Swindon (H) - 3
Leeds (A) - 0

Total = 9 = 45

Crewe:
Port Vale (H) - 3
Gillingham (A) - 3
Hartlepool (H) - 1
Walsall (A) - 0
Luton (A) - 1
Southend (H) - 0
Yeovil (A) - 0
Cheltenham (H) - 3
Bournemouth (A) - 3
Oldham (H) - 1

Total = 15 = 52

Final table:

18. Millwall 52
19. Crewe 52
20. Cheltenham 46
-------
21.Gillingham 45
22. Bournemouth
23. Luton
24. Port Vale



Ok, so maybe it's easy to give your own team a couple of extra points but looking at the above, who can argue that we don't have the easiest run in of the lot? Seven of our last ten games come against teams currently in the bottom 10 of the league. By no means are they all push overs, or indeed beatable, but when the others have to play Leeds, Swansea, Carlisle, Forest... it makes a difference. You also look at the final games of the season, us and Millwall look like having mid-table fodder who will have nothing to play for, whilst Gillingham and Cheltenham both have teams scapping for promotion.

We've done well in recent weeks, probably had the hardest run of games of this foursome and only came off it with one defeat. We took points off Orient, Leeds, Forest, Northampton & Swansea; if we carry on this form with the new signings in place, why should relegation come into question.

Whatever happens though, it's going to be a hell of a scrap. I can't see it not being a last day of the season job and I sure as hell hope we aren't in it. From the above though, it looks like we'll be leaving that down to Cheltenham and Gillingham.

Anyway, how do you see it going in these final 10 or so games? There's a thread on the message board on this very topic. Check it out.

Remember that if you are Vital Crewe's most active message board member in March then you could win a fully signed programme. More details below.







Writer:Dink
Date:Sunday March 9 2008
Time: 11:55PM

Comments

0
15 points god i hope so! Next two are crucial. anything less than 4pts and we are in the brown stuff.
mowen23
10/03/2008 08:52:00
0
Well I'd Go Along (Hopefully) With Those Final Predictions....!
horseworrier
10/03/2008 09:32:00
0
I hope you have it right here, its gonna be close. In these scraps you are more reliant on those around you failing to win almost as much as picking up points yourself, and the current bottom 5 are showing no signs of form at all. I am just glad that two of those sides were in administration, imagine how tight it'd be if they weren't!!! Remember that 51 points was the magic number last season for Orient.
TheE14Lion
10/03/2008 12:44:00
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League Table

# Team P W D L Pts. GD
1 Doncaster 32 19 7 6 64 23
2 Plymouth 31 19 4 8 61 17
3 Carlisle 32 15 13 4 58 11
4 Luton 32 14 11 7 53 18
5 Portsmouth 31 15 7 9 52 16
6 Exeter 32 15 5 12 50 16
7 Mansfield 32 12 11 9 47 4
8 Stevenage 32 14 4 14 46 1
9 Wycombe 31 13 7 11 46 0
10 Barnet 32 11 12 9 45 -2
11 Colchester 31 12 8 11 44 6
12 Grimsby 32 12 8 12 44 0
13 Cambridge 31 12 7 12 43 3
14 Blackpool 31 10 12 9 42 12
15 Morecambe 30 12 5 13 41 -7
16 Crawley 31 11 6 14 39 -11
17 Yeovil 32 9 11 12 38 -7
18 Crewe 32 8 12 12 36 -11
19 Accrington 30 8 9 13 33 -10
20 Notts County 32 9 6 17 33 -21
21 Cheltenham 32 7 11 14 32 -10
22 Hartlepool 32 7 11 14 32 -18
23 Leyton Orient 32 8 5 19 29 -15
24 Newport 31 5 10 16 25 -15
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